Moldova: Country Election Risk Assessment (CERA)
A pre-election risk assessment rating Moldova’s exposure to FIMI and hybrid threats as "high and rising" ahead of the September 2025 parliamentary elections, outlining three scenarios (limited impact, heightened polarisation, or coordinated hybrid attacks) and urging urgent inter-agency coordination.
Executive summary
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This Country Election Risk Assessment (DFRLab, Alliance4Europe, Debunk.org, EU DisinfoLab and FIMI-ISAC) evaluates Moldova’s vulnerabilities to Foreign Information Manipulation and Interference and hybrid threats around the September 2025 parliamentary elections. It identifies systemic weaknesses and election-specific threats and provides evidence-based recommendations for decision-makers, election authorities and civil society, concluding that moderate-to-high risks persist even with robust mitigation and that success depends on transparent communication, rapid response, proactive diaspora engagement and strengthened civil-society monitoring.
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